Most newsagency owners have a number in their head. Most of the time, that number is often wrong.
A seller often names a figure they have been carrying around for years. A buyer’s accountant puts a different number on the table. The gap is often huge. That gap does not close quickly, and it is painful for everyone involved.
Understanding how your business is actually valued is useful.
What buyers actually look at
Buyers and their accountants look at maintainable earnings. Not what you hope to earn. Not what you earned in your best year. What the business has demonstrably and consistently earned after normalising out the things that do not reflect commercial reality.
That means: owner wages adjusted to market rate (if you pay yourself $40,000 to run a business that would cost $70,000 to replace you, the buyer adjusts for that); personal expenses run through the business; one-off revenue items that won’t repeat. What remains is the foundation of your valuation.
What multiples apply
A traditional newsagency — heavily reliant on lotteries and agency business s — might trade at 1 to 1.5 times maintainable earnings. A transformed store with strong gift, collectibles, or coffee revenue might attract 2 to 3 times.
The difference is risk. A buyer will pay more for diversified, less-declining revenue. Magazine and newspaper revenue has been declining for years. A buyer’s accountant knows this. They apply a risk discount to revenue that is structurally retreating.
A shop that has genuinely shifted its income mix — that earns solid margin from gifts, homewares, toys, cards, coffee, or a specialist category — carries a different risk profile. That translates to a better multiple.
Lottery terminal revenue
Lottery revenue is valuable. But buyers and their advisers know it carries digital migration risk. The Lottery Corporation has said publicly that digital is growing. A buyer in 2026 will not pay the same multiple on lottery revenue that a buyer would have paid in 2015.
This does not mean lottery revenue is worthless, far from it. If lottery is ninety percent of your earnings, that concentration is a risk factor. A buyer will price that in.
What destroys goodwill
Poor lease terms. Heavy reliance on the owner’s personal relationships with customers or suppliers. Inaccurate stock on hand. Staff who will almost certainly leave when you do. Unresolved disputes with suppliers. And the one that kills more deals than anything else: a P&L that tells a different story from the tax return.
If your financials are inconsistent, buyers do not just reduce their offer. Sometimes they walk.
What gets normalised out
Owner wages above or below market rate. Personal expenses run through the business — phone, car, travel, subscriptions. One-off revenue that won’t repeat. After normalisation, the number may look quite different from your trading figures.
Know your number before someone offers you one
Get an independent valuation before you engage a broker or start conversations with potential buyers. You will negotiate from a stronger position. You will not be surprised. And you will not accept something you later regret because you did not understand the basis for the offer.
The gap between what most sellers expect and what buyers will pay is real. The best way to close it is preparation and honest information — starting now.
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